Of the four teams vying for an A.F.C. wild-card berth, the Ravens are in the best position. They are very likely to make the playoffs: Our simulator gives them a 94 percent chance. A win against the Bengals guarantees the Ravens the No. 5 spot, but they are likely to make the playoffs even with a loss and a 9-7 finish to the season. If they do lose on Sunday, they would need to be unlucky twice: A Bills win over the Dolphins and a Titans win over the Jaguars would keep them out.
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