How the country swung to the right
Vast swaths of the nation voted more Republican than in 2012, with Trump flipping a large number of counties.
Each county is a line
Swing is change in
margin from 2012
Color is winner
Thick stroke means
county flipped
from 2012
Data as of 7 a.m. Eastern
Swing is change in
margin from 2012
Each county is a line
Color is winner
Thick stroke means
county flipped from 2012
Data as of 7 a.m. Eastern
EAST
COAST
THE NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTH CAROLINA
Those bold red swings stretching from inland Maine through New Hampshire and into upstate New York are counties that flipped in Trump’s favor from 2012. Away from the large cities on the coast, these counties resemble the pattern seen widely, where cities voted slightly more Democratic, but suburbs and beyond swung way to the right.
Pennsylvania had voted for six Democratic presidential candidates in a row, but this year, most counties in the state voted more Republican than in 2012. North Carolina, on the other hand, was a reliably red state until Obama won it in 2008. Democrats hoped they could capture it this time around, but Trump won by four percentage points.
Rural counties
swinging to the
Republicans
THE GREAT LAKES
The Midwest is where Trump redrew the electoral map. States like Michigan and Wisconsin were considered favorable to Clinton, but instead swung to Trump mostly due to voters in mid-sized counties outside the major cities. The most striking change occurred in counties along the junction of Illinois, Wisconsin and Iowa. In this farm country, Trump’s message to people left behind helped him seize a significant advantage.
Atlanta area
THE DEEP SOUTH
Voters across Alabama, Mississippi and Georgia predictably voted Republican, but in no dramatic fashion. Rapidly urbanizing counties around Atlanta swung hard to the left for Clinton. She flipped three counties in this area that Obama lost in 2012.
Huge swing
to the right in
these areas
ALONG THE BORDER
People closest to where Trump said he would build a wall consistently voted against him, all the way from the Gulf of Mexico to the Pacific Ocean.
The reason you’re seeing counties in Utah swinging has a simple answer: Evan McMullin. The three-way contest with the independent conservative candidate in this state reduced the Republican margin, even though Clinton wasn’t competitive.
Orange County
Even though early voting suggested a historic Hispanic turnout in Nevada, Clinton won the two largest counties in the state by a slightly slimmer margin than Obama did in 2012. California became even more Democratic: Clinton won Orange County, which hasn’t gone for a Democrat since Franklin Roosevelt. In the Pacific Northwest, a pocket of rural counties between Seattle and Portland swung toward Trump.
WEST
COAST
EAST
COAST
THE NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTH CAROLINA
Those bold red swings stretching from inland Maine through New Hampshire and into upstate New York are counties that flipped in Trump’s favor from 2012. Away from the large cities on the coast, these counties resemble the pattern seen widely, where cities voted slightly more Democratic, but suburbs and beyond swung way to the right.
Pennsylvania had voted for six Democratic presidential candidates in a row, but this year, most counties in the state voted more Republican than in 2012. North Carolina, on the other hand, was a reliably red state until Obama won it in 2008. Democrats hoped they could capture it this time around, but Trump won by four percentage points.
Rural counties
swinging to the
Republicans
THE GREAT LAKES
The Midwest is where Trump redrew the electoral map. States like Michigan and Wisconsin were considered favorable to Clinton, but instead swung to Trump mostly due to voters in mid-sized counties outside the major cities. The most striking change occurred in counties along the junction of Illinois, Wisconsin and Iowa. In this farm country, Trump’s message to people left behind helped him seize a significant advantage.
Atlanta area
THE DEEP SOUTH
Voters across Alabama, Mississippi and Georgia predictably voted Republican, but in no dramatic fashion. Rapidly urbanizing counties around Atlanta swung hard to the left for Clinton. She flipped three counties in this area that Obama lost in 2012.
Huge swing
to the right in
these areas
ALONG THE BORDER
People closest to where Trump said he would build a wall consistently voted against him, all the way from the Gulf of Mexico to the Pacific Ocean.
The reason you’re seeing counties in Utah swinging has a simple answer: Evan McMullin. The three-way contest with the independent conservative candidate in this state reduced the Republican margin, even though Clinton wasn’t competitive.
Orange County
Even though early voting suggested a historic Hispanic turnout in Nevada, Clinton won the two largest counties in the state by a slightly slimmer margin than Obama did in 2012. California became even more Democratic: Clinton won Orange County, which hasn’t gone for a Democrat since Franklin Roosevelt. In the Pacific Northwest, a pocket of rural counties between Seattle and Portland swung toward Trump.
WEST
COAST
THE NORTHEAST
Those bold red swings stretching from inland Maine through New Hampshire and into upstate New York are counties that flipped in Trump’s favor from 2012. Away from the large cities on the coast, these counties resemble the pattern seen widely, where cities voted slightly more Democratic, but suburbs and beyond swung way to the right.
PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTH CAROLINA
Pennsylvania had voted for six Democratic presidential candidates in a row, but this year, most counties in the state voted more Republican than in 2012. North Carolina, on the other hand, was a reliably red state until Obama won it in 2008. Democrats hoped they could capture it this time around, but Trump won by four percentage points.
THE GREAT LAKES
The Midwest is where Trump redrew the electoral map. States like Michigan and Wisconsin were considered favorable to Clinton, but instead swung to Trump mostly due to voters in mid-sized counties outside the major cities. The most striking change occurred in counties along the junction of Illinois, Wisconsin and Iowa. In this farm country, Trump’s message to people left behind helped him seize a significant advantage.
THE DEEP SOUTH
Voters across Alabama, Mississippi and Georgia predictably voted Republican, but in no dramatic fashion. Rapidly urbanizing counties around Atlanta swung hard to the left for Clinton. She flipped three counties in this area that Obama lost in 2012.
ALONG THE BORDER
People closest to where Trump said he would build a wall consistently voted against him, all the way from the Gulf of Mexico to the Pacific Ocean.
THE WEST
Even though early voting suggested a historic Hispanic turnout in Nevada, Clinton won the two largest counties in the state by a slightly slimmer margin than Obama did in 2012. California became even more Democratic: Clinton won Orange County, which hasn’t gone for a Democrat since Franklin Roosevelt. In the Pacific Northwest, a pocket of rural counties between Seattle and Portland swung toward Trump.
The peaks and valleys of Trump and Clinton’s support
Clinton won in urban counties, while Trump won everywhere else.
Each county
is a triangle
Height
is total
votes cast
Width is margin
in net votes
Color is winner
Thick stroke is
county won
in a landslide
(50%+)
Data as of 7 a.m. Eastern
Each county is a triangle
Height
is total
votes cast
Color is winner
Thick stroke is county won
in a landslide (50%+)
Width is margin
in net votes
Data as of 7 a.m. Eastern
EAST
COAST
THE NORTHEAST
THE URBAN-RURAL DIVIDE
To no one’s surprise, Clinton won decisively in the Northeast Corridor. Those cities provided huge margins for her from Boston to Washington. Trump’s most notable big-city win was in Suffolk County on Long Island. While Trump didn’t win in the most urban counties, he held a significant edge in suburban counties.
Nationwide, Clinton won the urban core overwhelmingly, but Trump won 75 percent or more of everything else from suburbs to rural counties.
THE GREAT LAKES
Clinton’s large wins in Midwestern cities like Cleveland and Detroit weren’t enough to offset the Trump margins from many more smaller cities and counties. For example, Clinton won seven of Ohio’s 88 counties. She lost the area around Dayton, a medium-sized city that voted for Obama in 2012.
South Florida
Clinton held her own in Democratic strongholds in South Florida and Orlando, but Trump flipped St. Petersburg by a slim margin. Trump pulled away with large wins up and down both coasts in areas growing with retirees.
Twin Cities
Dallas-Ft. Worth
TEXAS AND THE PLAINS
Compared to Trump’s wins in the South, his margins in rural counties in the Great Plains were much higher, consistently winning by more than 50 percentage points. These counties are tiny, but combined, they handed him easy wins through the region.
THE SOUTHWEST
Maricopa County bucks the trend of urban areas voting for Democrats. Like Romney in 2012, Trump narrowly carried the county, netting him by far his largest single county win. The county includes the urban voters in Phoenix but even more conservative suburban voters.
Los Angeles
WEST
COAST
EAST
COAST
THE NORTHEAST
THE URBAN-RURAL DIVIDE
To no one’s surprise, Clinton won decisively in the Northeast Corridor. Those cities provided huge margins for her from Boston to Washington. Trump’s most notable big-city win was in Suffolk County on Long Island. While Trump didn’t win in the most urban counties, he held a significant edge in suburban counties.
Nationwide, Clinton won the urban core overwhelmingly, but Trump won 75 percent or more of everything else from suburbs to rural counties.
New York City
Philadelphia
THE GREAT LAKES
Clinton’s large wins in Midwestern cities like Cleveland and Detroit weren’t enough to offset the Trump margins from many more smaller cities and counties. For example, Clinton won seven of Ohio’s 88 counties. She lost the area around Dayton, a medium-sized city that voted for Obama in 2012.
South Florida
Cincinnati
Clinton held her own in Democratic strongholds in South Florida and Orlando, but Trump flipped St. Petersburg by a slim margin. Trump pulled away with large wins up and down both coasts in areas growing with retirees.
Indianapolis
Louisville
Grand Rapids
New Orleans
Twin Cities
Little Rock
Des Moines
Kansas City
Dallas-Ft. Worth
Oklahoma City
San Antonio
TEXAS AND THE PLAINS
Compared to Trump’s wins in the South, his margins in rural counties in the Great Plains were much higher, consistently winning by more than 50 percentage points. These counties are tiny, but combined, they handed him easy wins through the region.
Colorado
Springs
Albuquerque
THE SOUTHWEST
Salt Lake City
Maricopa County bucks the trend of urban areas voting for Democrats. Like Romney in 2012, Trump narrowly carried the county, netting him by far his largest single county win. The county includes the urban voters in Phoenix but even more conservative suburban voters.
Los Angeles
Sacramento
WEST
COAST
THE NORTHEAST
To no one’s surprise, Clinton won decisively in the Northeast Corridor. Those cities provided huge margins for her from Boston to Washington. Trump’s most notable big-city win was in Suffolk County on Long Island. While Trump didn’t win in the most urban counties, he held a significant edge in suburban counties.
THE URBAN-RURAL DIVIDE
Nationwide, Clinton won the urban core overwhelmingly, but Trump won 75 percent or more of everything else from suburbs to rural counties.
THE GREAT LAKES
Clinton’s large wins in Midwestern cities like Cleveland and Detroit weren’t enough to offset the Trump margins from many more smaller cities and counties. For example, Clinton won seven of Ohio’s 88 counties. She lost the area around Dayton, a medium-sized city that voted for Obama in 2012.
FLORIDA
Clinton held her own in Democratic strongholds in South Florida and Orlando, but Trump flipped St. Petersburg by a slim margin. Trump pulled away with large wins up and down both coasts in areas growing with retirees.
TEXAS AND THE PLAINS
Compared to Trump’s wins in the South, his margins in rural counties in the Great Plains were much higher, consistently winning by more than 50 percentage points. These counties are tiny, but combined, they handed him easy wins through the region.
Geography proves to be a crucial determining factor of how people vote. The urban classification of the counties reveals the parties' startling extremes.
Percent lead in
counties won
Number of
counties
Urban cores
Medium-sized city
Small city
Very small city
Percent lead in
counties won
Number of
counties
Urban cores
Medium-sized city
Small city
Very small city
Clinton won almost 90 percent of urban cores, while Trump won the vast majority – between 75 and 90 percent – of suburbs, small cities and rural areas. Though these latter geographies are more sparsely populated, they were home to the majority of voters this election.
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